最近打算系统性学习 agent skill ，发现 v2 社区中有人提到 大家注意不要分享自己的 skills ，最担心的事情还是发生了，对此还蛮兴趣。
特意去外网查看了相关的评论，有个评论我觉得有意义：
Their LinkedIn says they had 2-10 employees, which obviously isn't exact but safe to say they had well under 50 total employees. So it's a small shop and I think that puts 75% number in a better scope of understanding.
他们的 LinkedIn 显示员工人数是 2 到 10 人，虽然不完全准确，但可以肯定总员工远不到 50 人。所以这是一个小厂，我觉得这让 75%的数字在理解范围内更为清晰。
I don't think this is necessarily an "AI is going to take jobs" type thing in a broad sense, this is a small team that makes a free CSS framework and their sole source of revenue is trying to maintain a commercial version that sells UI components and what not, the issue being that now AI means people can just spin up their own UI components for free, and AI means people don't need to reference the documentation to even see that there is a paid version. The business of selling UI components seems challenging to begin with to say the least...
我不认为这一定是“AI 会抢走工作”的广义问题，这是一个小团队，他们做了一个免费的 CSS 框架，唯一的收入来源是维护一个商业版本，卖 UI 组件等，问题是现在 AI 让人们可以免费开发自己的 UI 组件， 而且 AI 意味着人们甚至不需要查阅文档就能看到有付费版本。销售界面组件的业务，至少可以说是充满挑战性的......
It's a challenging service to make revenue on anyway, but it does suck that Tailwind use is higher than ever but revenue on their commercial services is down 80%, the kicker is probably that AI is trained on all their paid UI components.
这本来就是一个很难赚钱的服务，但很遗憾 Tailwind 的使用率比以往任何时候都高，而他们的商业服务收入却下降了 80%，关键可能是 AI 已经训练了他们所有付费 UI 组件。
关键一句“可能是 AI 已经训练了他们所有付费 UI 组件。”，个人感觉这才是问题的根因。
倘若，Tailwind 团队开发的付费 UI 组件，能被 AI 工具完成，那么大概率大家只愿意为 AI 工具付费，而减少使用付费 UI 组件。
回顾软件开源历史，Linux 和 Apple 二者在商业思路上区别明显，但不影响同样都取得成功。
结论：Tailwind 团队推出的付费 UI 组件，并不是不可替代的东西。因此，才被 AI 取代。
同理，什么样的程序员，才不会被 AI 取代？
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1 条回复 • 2026-01-12 16:19:54 +08:00
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oldManNewThought 7 小时 44 分钟前
我忘记在哪里看见的。Tailwind 发了裁员消息后。谷歌搞 ai 的那个业务组决定给其赞助。然后好多其他公司纷纷给出赞助，类似一个公司每月给 4000 美元那样
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